Football betting strategies, like strategies in other sports, cannot provide 100% winnings. But, the analysis of the meetings held, the statistical data and the calculations made will allow the player, with a greater degree of probability, to calculate a positive result.
With all the variety of bets on football in bookmakers, everyone has the right to choose the most optimal strategy option for themselves.
Flat strategy
Flat, or "fixed interest on the bank", is the most common strategy among football bettors. This fact is due to the simplicity of its rules. With systematic wins, the pot and the size of the bets gradually increase, and with losses, they decrease. The main rule applied here is that a certain percentage of the total available capital should be set.
For example, the player's bank is 1000 rubles.
The rate is 200 rubles (20% of the total amount), the coefficient is 2.0. Win 400 rubles. Bank 1400 rubles.
Rate 220 (20%), odds. 1.8. Winning 396. Bank 1576.
Rate 315 (20%), odds. 1.9. Losing 315. Bank 1261.
The example above illustrates the overall growth in capital despite the loss. If the result is negative, the size of the bank decreases, and accordingly, the value of the bet must be adjusted.
Flat strategy is equally suitable for both experienced players and beginners. Its main advantage is the absence of the threat of a complete loss of the bank.
Martingale strategy
The Martingale strategy, or "catch-up" strategy, is to gradually increase the rates, depending on how much profit you managed to get. The essence of the system is the sequential doubling of the amount of the lost bet, provided that the coefficient is high enough (not less than 2.0)
For example, the bank is 10,000 rubles.
The rate is 100 rubles. Losing. Bank RUB 9900
Bet 200. Loss. Bank 9700.
Bet 400. Loss. Bank 9300.
Bet 800, odds 2.3. Winning 1840. Bank 11140.
The most important circumstance in the application of the Martingale strategy is to determine the amount that the player is ready to lose, up to, overlapping all previous failures, a winning bet.
D'Alembert, Oscar Grind strategies, Danish strategy, etc. - there is nothing more than a modified version of the game "catch-up". Only the rules for increasing rates, the size of the coefficient, raising the percentage of capital, and other game equivalents are changing.
Tank attack method
The essence of the strategy is to distribute all capital to a certain number of groups (tanks). Each part of the money works independently of each other, which makes it possible to compensate for the loss of one group by the gain of another.
Example: the player's bank is 1000 rubles. This amount can be divided into 2, 3, 4, 5 tanks. In this case, the player splits his capital into 4 parts of 250 rubles each.
The rate is 250 rubles, the coefficient is 1.4. Winning. Profit 100 rubles.
Bet 250, odds. 1.6. Winning. Profit 150.
Bet 250, odds. 1.7. Losing.
Bet 250, odds. 1.5. Winning. Profit 125.
The total growth of the bank will be 125 rubles.
Further moves can vary depending on the size of the current capital.
Miller's plateau management
A fairly simple and conservative strategy for betting on football, suitable primarily for cautious players who want to increase their money bank, avoiding large financial losses. The main principles of the strategy are:
- The coefficient must be at least 1.9;
- Advanced statistical analysis and forecasting. The player bets exclusively on events that should take place with a probability of 50% or more.
- The interest rate should not exceed 2% of the entire bank.
- The rate increase occurs when the total capital increases by 25%. It is at this moment that the transition to the next "plateau" occurs.
Example: A player has a bank of 10,000 rubles. The rate of 1% will be equal to 100 rubles. For each positive outcome, you can double the value of the bet. To move to a new "plateau", it is necessary to raise the total capital to 12,500 rubles. Further, the rate increases to 2%.
Beyond football, Miller's strategy works for every sport.
"Bets Against Draws"
This strategy implies taking into account all the nuances of the possible development of events. The peculiarity of "bets against draws" is the comprehensive observance of all key rules and principles of the strategy. These include:
- Determination of the favorite of the meeting. If a strong team plays at the home stadium, the role of factors influencing a positive outcome (support from fans, motivation, dedication, etc.) increases significantly.
- You need to bet on the matches of teams, the composition of which is familiar to the player.
- The odds for the favorite before the match should not exceed 2.0, and the odds for a draw - 4.2.
- According to the bookmakers' forecasts, an abundance of goals is expected in the match.
- If there are no goals scored, as a rule, in the middle of the second half, when the “draw” coefficient reaches 2.0, you can bet on it. In this case, a safety net will help reduce the loss from the original bet.
For example, Barcelona are playing against Athletic (Bilbao) at their Camp Nou in the Spanish Championship. In the first half, there were no goals scored, and the odds for the victory of Barça, depending on the course of the confrontation, will grow from 1.25-1.4 to 1.55-1.60. By betting online on the favorite to win, in the event of an unpredictable scenario, you can hedge yourself by betting on a draw and minimize the loss.
Barcelona and Monaco were the first to reach 100 goals this season. "Socker.ru" names the most productive squads of the top-5 championship right now!
11th place. Chelsea (England) \u003d 67 goals in 29 games
Average: 2.31 goals per game
Three teams in the Old World have scored 67 goals each - Roma, Chelsea and Bayern. Munich will be positioned slightly lower, and the Romans are not included in the rating, as they have a lower average (2.03 goals per game). As for the leader of the Premier League, the team italian coach Antonio Conte scores a lot. If the “blues” participated in the European competition, they could be located not in 11th place, but to be 5th or 6th.
10th place. Bayern (Germany) \u003d 67 goals in 28 games
Average: 2.39 goals per game
It took Bayern one less game than Chelsea to score their 67 goals. Ancelotti's team is often criticized along the way current season, but this does not prevent the Munich superclub from acting effectively. Again, if not for the winter break in Germany, which is associated with a small total number of appearances at Bayern, Papa Carlo's charges could rise higher in the rankings, because they have a high average performance.
9th place. Manchester United (England) \u003d 69 goals in 38 games
Average: 1.82 goals per game
The Red Devils have scored 2 more goals than Bayern, playing a dozen more games. With such a pace of scoring goals - less than two goals per game on average, the Mancunians will not stay in the top of the most productive teams in Europe at the end of the season. It is also noteworthy that Manchester United scored almost half of their goals in cup tournaments: 36 goals in 24 Premier League matches and 33 goals in 14 matches in other competitions (Europa League, FA Cup, League Cup, FA Super Cup).
8th place. Sevilla (Spain) \u003d 69 goals in 34 games
Average: 2.03 goals per game
Sevilla repeat Manchester United's overall record, but Jorge Sampaoli's squad has scored 69 goals in 34 matches, 4 fewer than Manchester United. In the Spanish championship, the Andalusians are outnumbered only by Real and Barcelona, \u200b\u200band in 4 matches of the King's Cup, Sevilla have scored 17 goals (4.25 per game), thus improving the overall productivity of the attack.
7th place. Napoli (Italy) \u003d 70 goals in 31 games
Average: 2.26 goals per game
If the result of Saturday's match with “Bologna” was different, Maurizio Sarri's squad could be outside the top ten of the rating, but the Neapolitans won with a score of 7: 1 and in one fell swoop climbed to the seventh line. The accomplishment of "Napoli" looks truly grandiose, if you keep in mind two circumstances: Higuain's departure to Juventus last summer and the severe injury of Arkadiusz Milik, invited as a replacement for the Argentine.
6th place. Manchester City (England) \u003d 77 goals in 36 games
Average: 2.14 goals per game
Guardiola is not doing everything in England, but Pep did not give up his style: Manchester City play brightly and score a lot. On average, the Citizens are superior to their neighbors at United, but inferior to Chelsea. Perhaps the appearance of Gabriel Jesus will help Man City to differ even more often.
5th place. Paris Saint-Germain (France) \u003d 82 goals in 35 games
Average: 2.34 goals per game
Another Spanish specialist in a new championship for himself. Emery at PSG, like Guardiola at Manchester City, has serious problems with stability, playing discipline and acceptance of his coaching ideas, but the Parisians play effectively even without Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who drove to Albion. “Matador” Cavani works at the highest level - he has more goals in Ligue 1 than matches, but we will find out what PSG is worth in the spring. Firstly, the Unai Emery team is waiting for a meeting in the Champions League with Barcelona, \u200b\u200band secondly, it is necessary to win back the first place in the French championship.
4th place. Arsenal (England) \u003d 83 goals in 35 games
Average: 2.37 goals per game
In adjacent positions are the opponents in the Champions League group, who together made their way to the playoff round. However, in the case of Arsenal, it is high time to stop associating high performance with stability and proximity to trophies. Arsene Wenger's squad always plays brightly and does not deny itself the goals scored, but with each season the well-known aphorism about Tottenham from the movie Bringing Down in Bruges is applicable to the Gunners, who are even fourth in this rating.
3rd place. Real Madrid (Spain) \u003d 98 goals in 34 games
Average: 2.88 goals per game
Madrid had a chance to hit the hundred in one weekend with Barcelona, \u200b\u200bbut the storm in Galicia robbed the creamy even of the chance to storm the grandmaster's performance mark. But, as you can see, after reading to the end, “Real” is the leader in the Old World in terms of relative indicators - no one so often sends balls into the opponents' goal. Even Barcelona.
2nd place. AS Monaco (France) \u003d 100 goals in 38 games
Average: 2.63 goals per game
The high flight of Monaco, delighting its fans with scoring feats, came as a surprise to many. The Monegasques even managed to wedge themselves between the inseparable Spanish couple. We had a detailed conversation about the phenomenal team of Leonard Jardim, do not be lazy to read the transcript:
1st place. Barcelona (Spain) \u003d 100 goals in 36 games
Average: 2.78 goals per game
A team that is used to being the first in any competition. It took the Catalans two fewer meetings than Monaco to get to a hundred goals scored. No wonder - with such and such an incredible attack! Messi, Suarez and Neymar are responsible for 62 goals out of 100!
Having scanned all the leading (and only) European championships, I fixed my gaze on five teams that play a lot at the OZ at the start of this season.
Let's go from smallest to largest. The honorable 5th place is taken by the well-known Hull City... If in each game of the "tigers" in the new season we had bet 1000 rubles, then at the exit we would have made a profit of 3780 rubles ( 63% from turnover). Bookmakers clearly did not expect this from the middle peasant of the Premier League, and therefore did not skimp on good odds.
The 3rd and 4th places in the rating of fans to play mutual attacking football were shared by teams less known to the common fan. It's about French Creteier from Ligue 2 and Italian Carpirepresenting Serie B. With bets of 1000 rubles on each of their matches, we would get 5730 and 3850 rubles, respectively. However, given the number of matches, these values \u200b\u200bare equal 64% from turnover.
Creteil's results:
Carpi results:
It's time for two absolute champions - teams that have consistently scored and conceded in all matches this season.
2nd place is Mallorca... Valery Karpin's charges do little in this season, they are in last place in the Spanish Segunda, but they manage to impose the fight on absolutely all opponents. If we had bet 1000 rubles per flat on OZ in Mallorca's matches, we would have gotten a net profit 5390 rubles, and this is nothing but 90% from turnover. In the place of Valery Georgievich, I would not refuse such an increase in salary :)
Portuguese Estoril I was impressed by everyone last season, when I took a high 4th place in Primeira. "Canaries" never cease to amaze honest people and climb to the top of my rating.
At the exit, with the same rate of 1000 rubles, we would have gotten a crazy profit. Namely, 6370 rubles or 106% from turnover. Excelente !, the Portuguese would have shouted. Excellent !, we exclaim.
If suddenly the coach of Estoril - well-known to us Jose Couceiro - is a regular Intelbet user, I would like to convey my regards and wish to continue this trend.
By the way, I took all the odds from the Marathon line. ;)
The Netherlands Championship has been held since 1895. The tournament acquired its current format in 1956. Before that, amateur teams took part in the drawing of the trophy. The glorious years of Dutch football are long gone. Ajax won the European Cup three times in a row in the 70s, and then became the Champions League triumphant in the 1994/95 season. The following year, the team reached the final, but lost to Juventus in a series of penalty kicks.
In the table of UEFA coefficients, Eredivisie has decently lost ground, having taken off from the top 10, having passed ahead even the championships of the Czech Republic and Switzerland. The decline in the level of football did not affect the popularity of the tournament. League matches continue to attract attention outside the country, and there are fans of Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord in many countries.
Most awarded clubs (as of 2017):
- Ajax - 33 titles;
- PSV - 23 titles;
- Feyenoord - 16 titles;
- Den Haag - 10 titles.
Championship structure the championship of the Netherlands
For the title of champion they are fighting 18 clubsthat meet each other twice a season. The top two teams go to represent the country in the Champions League, and the teams from 3rd to 7th place in the UEL.
The worst team immediately drops in the class and Orstedivizi takes off. The teams that took the 16th and 17th lines play in the mine-tournament with representatives of the First Division (2-9 places). The two playoff winners are eligible to play in the elite.
Features of betting on Eredivisie
- 1. The championship is associated with a scoring extravaganza. Indeed it is super-productive tournament, which in the season before last for this indicator was second only to the championship of Switzerland. But among the top ten scoring teams in Europe, the Eredivisie represents only PSV. This indicates that both leaders and outsiders score a lot.
- Only one club in the penultimate season played more games at TM (2.5) than at TB (2.5). It is profitable to bet on totals in this tournament. In addition, the margin on them is low - 3-4%.
- 2. The level of Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord is significantly different from the class of the rest of the league. The odds on their rivals sometimes reach cosmic values \u200b\u200b- more than 75.0. You can only bet on winning giants with a negative handicap of several goals, but remember that this increases the risk.
- 3. In the Netherlands better to bet on middle peasants... Clubs up to the 7th position fall into the LE, so the fight drags on until the final round. Only a few teams that have settled on the 11-13th line lose their motivation at the finish of the championship.
- 4. In the Premier Division, a contractual match was revealed only once, and even then, one player was involved in it, and not the teams. Holland in terms of fair play is noticeably ahead of Serie A and even the Spanish Example.
Championship Winner Bets
In Holland, two clubs outperform others - Ajax and PSV. From time to time they are joined by Feyenoord or another club. It is these three that play the title of champion, but basically, the fight is between Ajax and PSV.
Over the past 11 seasons, Ajax and PSV have taken gold 4 times. Twente, AZ and Feyenoord managed to do this once.
The series of championships for PSV and Ajax often changes. One club can lead 3-4 seasons, then another will replace it. And so in a circle. As already mentioned, only occasionally do others intervene in this struggle.
Home team betting
In the tournament, many teams, especially from the middle of the table, earn points mainly on their own field. Knowing these clubs, you can bet on their home matches. Pay attention to Twente. Home team rarely lose points in recent seasons.
Also, AZ, Vitesse, Den Haag and Groningen are considered home clubs, excluding the grants. With their fans, they gain about 70-80% of all points earned in a season. These are indicative statistics, especially if you do not take into account meetings with TOP clubs.
Top scorer betting
The top scorers of the rally, as a rule, after an enchanting season, leave the tournament, leaving for the TOP championships. A leader usually needs two dozen goals, but sometimes you need to score under thirty.
Every year the goal scorers change, which must be taken into account when betting. Often no one wins the top scorer race famous playersthat become the opening of the season.
Championship Netherlands totals betting
This is one of the most scored European championships. The average number of goals scored per match exceeds 3 goals. For comparison, in other leagues this figure is in the region of 2-2.5 goals.
There are rarely zero draws in the tournament.... Only about 12-15% of fights end without goals.
Leaders like to score more than 3-4 times against outsiders, and the field factor does not play any role. In addition to the giants, the effective teams are Utrecht, Twente, Vitesse and Groningen.
5 records of the Dutch championship
- 1. PSV, Ajax and Feyenoord are the only teams that have never left the top division.
- 2. Record number goals per season for Ajax - 122 in the 1966/67 season.
- 3. The largest number Ajax's winnings for the season - 30 out of 34 in the 1972/73 season.
- 4. The only season without defeat was Ajax - the 1994/95 season.
- 5. PSV and Ajax have the longest championship streak - 4 seasons each, and PSV players have done it twice.
Netherlands Football Championship Betting Summary
The relatively weak line-up of the tournament does not affect the attendance of the matches. Now the championship is on the 6th position in this parameter, but thanks to the positive trend, it has every chance to bypass the French
The last rounds of most European championships have already been played, or will take place in the coming days. Sportbox.ru begins to sum up the season close to the final. On the agenda is the rating of the performance of the leading national championships.
Goals per match
1.Switzerland - 3.16
2. Netherlands - 2.97
3. Belgium - 2.9
4. Germany - 2.83
5. Portugal - 2.7
6.Spain - 2.69
7 - 8. England and Ukraine - 2.68
9.Turkey - 2.65
10. France - 2.55
11.Italy - 2.52
12.Russia - 2.49
Highest scoring clubs
Granada - Barcelona. 0: 2. Luis Suarez
(one from each country)
1. (Ukraine) - 3.08
2. (Spain) - 2.95
3. (France) - 2.68
4 - 5. (Portugal), (Netherlands) - 2.59
6. (Switzerland) - 2.58
7. (Germany) - 2.41
8. (Turkey) - 2.21
9. (Italy) - 2.18
10. (Belgium) - 2.13
11. (Russia) - 2.04
12. (England) - 1.9
Second divisions
(top 8 countries of the UEFA coefficient table)
Goals per match
1. Second Bundesliga (Germany) - 2.62
2. Serie B (Italy) - 2.43
3. Championship (England) - 2.42
4. FNL (Russia) - 2.37
5.Ligue 2 (France) - 2.3
6.Segunda (Portugal) - 2.29
7. Segunda (Spain) - 2.24
8. First League (Ukraine) - 2.07
Highest scoring clubs
1. Freiburg (Germany) - 2.24
2. Cagliari (Italy) - 1.85
3. Porto B (Portugal) - 1.83
4. Arsenal (Russia) - 1.69
5. "Zirka" (Ukraine) - 1.67
6. "Dijon" (France) - 1.63
7. Burnley, Brighton, Brentford (England) - 1.57
8. Leganes (Spain) - 1.43
Alas, the Russian Premier League was at the very bottom of the list of the strongest. Of course, such a number of goals scored in Switzerland, the Netherlands and Belgium speaks first of all about a careless attitude to defense, and not about the skill of attack. For example, Alexander Kerzhakov's Zurich closes the Swiss championship table, but scores an average of 1.3 goals per game, while those in the middle of the table russian Premier League Krylya Sovetov - 0.64, but the Samara team concedes twice as little!
Terek - Wings of the Soviets. 0: 1. Adis Yakhovich
Germany's confident leadership among the top five championships once again clearly demonstrates why interest in the Bundesliga is growing from year to year. Spain, despite the incredible 222 goals scored by Barça and Real Madrid, was only sixth.
The most scoring club in our rating was unexpectedly the forced nomad Shakhtar, and the most productive club of the English Premier League, Manchester City, closed the rating, not even reaching the mark of 2 goals per match. Both that, and another circumstance can be explained by the peculiarities of the current draws. Due to the difficult financial situation, the level of the Ukrainian championship, alas, is falling. In England, there was an unprecedented season, unanimously failed by all the giants.
Prepared by Nikolay Niiforov, Sportbox.ru