Football. Rates on the goal last minutes of the match

If you love to watch football often, then probably watched a lot of heads in the added time. Sometimes your bet passed on the last second of the match, and sometimes - on the contrary. Goal at the compensated time deprived you of winnings. If you think that in the final segment of the fight the main number of heads are clogged, then you are right.

If you break the game for temporary segments for 5 minutes, then the final five minutes account for the most number of goals scored.

Such a situation is observed in all football tournaments And annually, if changing, then slightly. Since such regularity is not disposable, but constant, it makes sense to use it to make money. But do not hurry to escape to bet on all matches in a row, since this approach is doomed in advance for failure. We will analyze the criteria by which the events for bets on goals in the final segment of the fight.

1. Difference in the account

The advantage in the curtain of the duel should not exceed 2 goals. If the losing side to catch the glasses is required, only one taking of the gate is required, then they will try to do it with all their might. When the summary of the meeting is resolved and the gap is more than 2-3 goals, then few will become in vain to spend strength.

pay attention to an important nuance. If it is a two-way duel, then you need to consider not the current account in the game, but the entire confrontation. The team can play 0: 3, but to exit the next stage, she is enough for one goal.

2. Anderdog wins

This happens with excessive enthusiasm at attacking actions. Footballers forget about defense and skipped on a counterattack. In situations where the outsider scored the first and leads in the invoice, the chances of the fact that the favorite comes with or even to issue CBCEK.

3. Derby or Concept confrontation

If irreconcilable rivals play or even eternal enemies, then the desire to score goals will not disappear and with a score of 4: 0. And the team that loses will try in every way to make a goal of prestige.

4. Position in the standings

For example, in the group stage of European Cups to go out in the playoff round, the team in the final round should beat the opponent with a difference of at least 3 goals. If in a duel she will win the advantage of 2 goals, then under the curtain of the meeting, it will be necessary to surrender forward. Perhaps it will not forget, but here the opponent appears a chance to cut the team on a counterattack.

5. Very many blows in the target

Go to statistics. Of course, it will be stupid to bet on taking a gate in front of the final whistle, if the opponents never hit the target. The bigger exact strikesThe higher the chances of what the ball will reach the goal.

About how to make bets on strikes in the target, read.

6. Removing player

If the team minus one player, it is harder to defend. But here the football players begin to laid out and run, as they say, "for themselves and that guy." With this nuance you need to be careful.

An excellent option is to remove a goalkeeper, especially if the coach has already used all the replacements. No matter how well there was a field player in the frame, he is still not a goalkeeper.

7. Replacements in the course of the meeting

First of all, this concerns the output of the player of the attacking plan. By the way, even if there are no motivations from the teams, it can be from a separate athlete who wants to show himself, scoring a goal. Either it happens that the mentor decided to care the leader of the team. He hoped on a slight victory, but without a better attacker, it seems to do not do. The coach conducts such a replacement - it increases the likelihood of a scored ball.

8. Collective statistics

In each championship there are volitional and browning teams that are more often clogged and skipped at the end of the match. It is in the events with these teams it is advisable to make such rates.

Summarize

It is quite problematic to intuitively understand the most suitable moment for the bet on the goal at the end. Try to wait for the quotes to increase. It's a shame for a long time to monitor the event, but do not have time to make bets, since the goal has already happened.

Often, players are scored after free and standards, so if you see the broadcast of the match with a minimum delay, it would be nice to make a bet if you see something like that on the field. Naturally, the decision should be supported by the analysis and comply with the above factors.

Watch the video: Football information

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For a huge mass of fans, cup battles on the departure have much more interest than ordinary matches, according to which a draw can be fixed. Football lovers get an additional charge of real sports emotions, and kapper - the opportunity to work well, because bets on the goal in the value-added time go side by side with the concept of good coefficient.

Why the quotes of the bookmaker to take a gate in an extra-half-half is always slightly higher than at the beginning of the main time of the match? The answer is simple and banal: the forces at the teams at this point the meeting is clearly not added. Therefore, even the obvious favorites sometimes will be able to think about keeping their gates in immunity and in the event of an unsuccessful additional time to reduce everything at least to the penalty series. Therefore, if there was no force majeure associated with the removal of the player in composition of one of the teams, then overtime rarely when he glances with a huge number of scored heads, as the value of even one of them in the stock edge is higher than that of the ball held in the main time.

Strategy of bets on the goal in the value added involves the creation of a livet. At what time it is best to do? Here is the situation twofold. Of course, if you play initially unequal groups, it is better to put in a break between the main and extra time, because the favorite even with the onset of extra time will not leave attempts to hit the opponent's gate and can do it at any time. Anderdog in this situation will be to their possessions even more, thereby increasing the likelihood of taking their own gates, as not to miss at the present assault. However, if the opponents are comparable in the class, then it will be better to pay a little with a bet on the value-added. Surely none of the teams, if she could not conquer the advantage in 90 minutes, would not fly ahead his head, so the capper will have the opportunity to wait and look at the model of the game proposed by the mentors to their wards. Perhaps the starting minutes of Extra Time are clearly allowed to understand that no one is ready to risk and, in principle, do not mind bringing the case to the series of post-match dealers - it is obvious that in such a situation it is better not to bet at all: the gaming account will be more.

Part two

We continue to familiarize yourself with the strategy and look at such a question as drawing up the schedule of matches and the selection of suitable leagues. In the first part, on the example of the English League, we conducted a certain analysis from which the conclusions made a more suitable league for bets, but let's understand whether only leagues with a positive result can be used or with a negative one. I must say that this strategy does not carry the meaning of strict selection of only the positive leagues with subsequent rates on their matches. The fact is that if we hold a strict selection with the choice of only the positive leagues, the final result will be very low, and maybe even negative, since we have seen a positive result for example with England, but he was quite small, taking into account that 97 matches were affected, and profit was only 13 bills. The income is small, and the time spent and total consumption is large and so practically all countries and their leagues. So how do you choose the right leagues and matches downgrading to a minimum flow and raising the profit? It will help us in this just start time matches and drawing up a schedule. Match time different countries and different leagues often differ, I would probably probably call more than all England, since not rare days, when the matches can begin at once in several leagues and their number can translate in four dozen and therefore such leagues are spent In total, but here there are nuances that help in many respects not only to have time to make bets on a large co-match for a very short period, but also not rarely reduce the number of matches of the most affiliated matches and, accordingly, our costs. All this we will discern a little later, but as long as we turn to other countries and their leagues, we are interested in the time of the matches. I will view several matches on MyScore.ru website.

As we see the time of the start of the matches, many are quite different in contrast to England. What gives us this and why is this time position is very profitable for us? Let's make a schedule based on this screen. We see only 13 matches here, we make a schedule according to the time of the beginning of the matches and get such a picture:

We see that 13 matches are broken down by 6 parts. Based on the quantity, we prepare the amount of the bank grabs for the stagnation of all 13 matches. For a better understanding, we take for example the monetary expression of this with the amount of the rate of 1000 rubles and then on 13 matches we need to prepare 13,000 rubles. But the amount spent may be not 13 thousand, but much less. In this example, the minimum spent amount can be only 3,000 rubles, since only three matches will be played on schedule and if at least in one of them there will be a goal at the end of the game at the ratio of 5, then we will receive our profits and continue the game This day will not. When leaving in plus it is better to interrupt the game for that day. This is all good if the test match will be in the top three, and if he is later or in late or he will not be at all? Each of the options deserves the place to be, but based on the practice should noted that it is rare when it is necessary to put all matches in the schedule affecting the bank completely allotted for this. The screen for an example was filmed by me without special accounting of the performance of the leagues specified on it and still despite this we will check it in about 15 hours on the subject of the headed heads in the added time to see whether there will be such matches and if so what time they played. This will allow us to evaluate our maximum and minimum costs for this schedule.

I think the basic principle of why it is advantageous to such a temporary spread of matches everyone has become clear. Let's deal with relying on this principle why even the minus on the statistics of the league can bring full-fledged profits. If you select for the league rates with a small negative indicator of statistics, then in plus we can withdraw the scatter by the time of the matches of such leagues. If you take at such an example today's screen and browse the matches of Greece, we will see today 6 matches broken into 3 parts by time. Although Greece is not negative according to statistics, but for example will go and much will be clear. In the Greek Cup, this season was played this season 42 matches of which 10 were effective, based on our coefficient 10x5-42 \u003d 8, we have a positive result of +8 bets, but this is general statistics subject to the station of all 42 matches. And how much costs and arrived in practice? We divide 42 matches in time to start and get such data:

18 matches began at 15: 30-16: 00
14 matches began at 16: 30-17: 00-18: 15
10 matches began at 20:30

If the matches of Greece would be added to the schedule, then for all the time we would be the first to go with 18 matches. Now I will check for what time the most effective matches had the most. For 18 matches of the beginning at 15: 30-16: 00, there were 6% and 4 more than 4 more matches began at 20:30. We will look at how many matches from 42 we would have to put it in fact and whatever profit came, and most importantly, how the time began to start the time of the results of the results of the overall total:

Let's deal with. This is all 42 matches of the Greek tournament. Green I allocated all the matches in which a goal at the end of the game was scored. But we would consider the time of some productive matches, I would not continue to continue the game in this or that day and some number of matches in this tournament were ignored completely. I noted them in the Red Zone, all such matches were 14 pieces. I immediately explain why I had a few productive matches in one red zone, the fact is that on the schedule on this day there were 3% of the match at different times the first of which was at 15:30, and the rest later and for this reason we had a win Already received and we did not continue to continue. Now we calculate how many financial terms we cost this station, as an example take the amount of one bet equal to 1000 rubles and check the table from the bottom up.
27.10 We spent 6 thousand rubles at rates of which played only one at the time noted by the total of -1000 rubles.
28.10 We spent on rates of 7 thousand rubles of which played only one at the noted time of the total -2000 rubles.
29.10 We spent 1 thousand rubles on the rates that played at the noted time, two other matches did not take it, the total of +4000 minus 3000 for the previous two days came in plus per 1000 rubles.
1.12 We spent on the rates of 2 thousand rubles from which was played by one at the noted time, the three other matches did not take the same, the total is +3,000 rubles, we are in a plus for 4,000 rubles.
2.12 We spent 1 thousand rubles on the rates that played at the noted time, 5 other matches did not take the same, the total is +4,000 rubles, we are in plain 8,000 rubles.
3.12 We spent on rates of 5 thousand rubles from which was played by one at the noted time, the outcome of the day Zero, we are still in the plus on 8,000 rubles.
15.12 We spent 2 thousand rubles at rates of which played one at the noted time, the total is +3,000 rubles, we are in the plus for 11,000 rubles.
16.12 We spent 4 thousand rubles at the rates of which played one at the noted time, four other matches did not take it, the result is +1 000 rubles, we are in a plus by 12,000 rubles.
That's what results we came, we had a temporary negative balance at the noted in the blue plot, after which we quickly went out in a plus and continued to increase it. It is perfectly clear due to the fact that part of the effective matches was before in time, we managed to save a part of the cash, thereby increasing the real income, which amounted to 12,000 rubles instead of 8,000 rubles from the general indicators of statistics.
For the same principle, many minus leagues can fully generate income if they are statistically quite a lot of productive matches in the first time. For clarity, here is an example of one of the matches of England the second league, which we temporarily rejected yesterday based on the analysis of statistics:

We see that on this day there were 12 matches, one of which was played an hour earlier than the rest and just on him the first fell a win, which allowed us not to put on the remaining 11 matches. Suppose that in addition to this match, there was no more productive on that day and what general statistics would lead to us. And the general statistics will lead to the fact that 12 matches were played, only one won and therefore the overall performance of this league would fall on this day by 7 points, but in reality, due to the difference in time, the performance of this league could be revised by 4 points. Therefore, it should not always be thrown into excellent leagues According to general statistics, because in terms of time they can be very effective.
Sometimes you can use for rates and add some matches of single lones of large leagues like a championship of English, which is not entirely used to use completely, but you can take a single matches, because they are also effective, and much harm to our balance is one extra match in the schedule will not bring .

The number of headed heads at the time of the rates of a special role does not play, as it happens quite a lot in different leagues of the only heads at the very end of the match or already at the time being added:

It should not be neglected also by bets on the match in which a goal was scored almost at the very end of the game, but at the same time we have not had time to put due to the coefficient that did not satisfy us. Logically, many think that since the goal was at the very end, it is hardly able to repeat and discard the match. But quite often in the next one goal follows the other. There are sometimes clogged even for 2-3 goals already in the added time. So do not follow such matches to rebel for the bet: